The flight of Yemeni leader Ali Abdullah Saleh to Saudi Arabia deprives the United States of a fitful ally in the fight against al-Qaeda’s most dangerous affiliate and injects new uncertainty into counterterrorism operations that were already hampered by the country’s bloody internal strife, according to Yemen and security experts.
While Saudi Arabia, with U.S. backing, will almost certainly prevent Saleh’s return to Yemen, it is unclear who will replace him and whether there will be a change in attitude toward American efforts to target Islamic militants in the country.
Comment by Adamantine:
It is my opinion that the demise of the various dictatorships in the middle east will give rise to pseudo democracies which will really be Islamic dictatorships by the people. Those who think Freedom is a universal value may find the contrary answer in the graveyard of personal freedoms that is the cradle of civilization.
Start with Nimrod and work your way forward through Sumer, Assyria, Babylon, Persia, Alexander of Greece, Seleucid, Roman, Parthian, Islamic Caliphate, Turkish Empire right up to the present lands of Syria, Saudi Arabia and Egypt of today and not once was there an indigenous government that cared for personal freedom.
There are three types of freedom. The first is the national freedom of the country for a people to establish a country whether it is the Greek Polis or Nazis Germany. Each country for a time enjoyed the national freedom that a country exercises in the affairs of men. Many a soldier has died fighting for the national freedom of his country even when they were fighting for a Adolf Hitler or Mao.
Next there is the political “freedom” within a country by which the country determines how it will rule within its borders. Some countries have a degree of this freedom and some have none. Some are pure dictatorships where a monarch or military leader rules by fiat. In many cases a mad man will make due. In today’s world we have everything from Gaddafi to the Burmese dictatorships right on to Korea. The monarchs of Europe may be benevolent but they are also a point on the continuum to the democracies of the the west.
Lastly there are those countries which value and guarantee the personal freedoms of speech, press, religion and assembly. Many countries enshrine these in government documents and then ignore them in practice. Russia was always proud of its freedom of religion even as they molested religious groups within their midst. In the US these freedoms are constantly being chipped away by those who say they are doing it for safety….. often for the children or some other weak group.
The only freedom I expect to see in the middle east will be among a collection of countries which protect their national freedoms and promote Islamic sharia law to the citizenry. There will be little political and even less personal freedom.
These countries will now be less friendly to the USA. We may see soon an increase in the influence of Europe in the Mediterranean.
Only those willing to see the possibility that Bible prophecy is a lamp of history will recognize at this early point that this will not end well for the world.
We may be seeing the rise of the hegemonic extension of European power into the middle east. Europe will then for a short time influence the whole world. Because we surmise that a stopping of sacrifice will occur late in the time frame of the ENPI the denouement may be much later than we had expected prior. Major world events which are classifiable as “tribulation” may not be occurring until 2015 and beyond. We may now be seeing only the beginning of sorrows .
this framework for understanding the geopolitical future in time proves to be Biblically incorrect we are still seeing a rise of European influence and a decrease of American influence. Some would like to believe that there is no difference but I suggest that even as self interested as American foreign policy may have been Europe has been even more duplicitous in the past.
European history has been one of outright Imperial expansion. I do not think those days are yet over.
Dividing the world into the Kings of the east,west,north and south while it may seem simplistic does appear appropriate for the next ten years.
The world is no longer east and west and nonaligned.
It has all four parts of the compass in play. Each in turn may be marching to the middle east in an attempt to secure their nation a claim to the energy center of the earth. Religion plays a part.
Freedom will not be a guiding principle and the “Arab Spring” is a mirage.
Yemen’s short spring season
Most crucial to the political future of Yemen, particularly its chances of transitioning to a democracy, is the attitude of Saudi Arabia. Riyadh has already shown itself capable of intervening militarily when their interests are threatened, as happened in Bahrain, and their invitations to fellow Sunni monarchies in Jordan and Morocco to join the Gulf Cooperation Council show how reluctant they are to support any moves towards democratisation.
So long as Western interests in Yemen are largely defined by security – US aid is predominantly security related – then a post-Saleh political system will be dictated to more by Riyadh’s counter-reformist political ideology than the west’s desire for political liberalism. The massed protestors in Sana’a might not know it yet, but their window of opportunity for true democratic change may close much more quickly than they realise. And that’s even if Saleh doesn’t manage to make a dramatic return from Riyadh. The Arab Spring isn’t likely to result in much democratic flowering in Yemen.
Importantly we might add:
romalynnstar, on June 6, 2011 at 5:49 am said:
Joh 8:31 Then said Jesus to those Jews which believed on him, If ye continue in my word, then are ye my disciples indeed;
Joh 8:32 And ye shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free.
Joh 8:33 They answered him, We be Abraham’s seed, and were never in bondage to any man: how sayest thou, Ye shall be made free?
Joh 8:34 Jesus answered them, Verily, verily, I say unto you, Whosoever committeth sin is the servant of sin.
Joh 8:35 And the servant abideth not in the house for ever: but the Son abideth ever.
Joh 8:36 If the Son therefore shall make you free, ye shall be free indeed.
This is indeed, the only freedom that lasts and makes any difference.